Azur Lane Pity Calculator · Pull Planner
Real odds on the featured UR — pulls for 50%, for 90%, and for the guarantee, and the expected spend
58 typical, 191 if unlucky, 76 on average — guaranteed by 200. Plotted on the same axis as every other game, measuring the Wishing Well — the one pool where you name the ship you are chasing; a standard build has no featured ship at all, so its UR rate answers a different question.
Azur Lane's Wishing Well: 1.2% per build for the Ultra Rare ship you wished for — the only UR the Well can give you — and a 200-build ceiling, from the 400 UR Exchange points a build earns at 1 per Wisdom Cube.
Every rate on this page is a figure the game itself states; there is no modelled curve between them. Checked against Azur Lane 9.3.320 on 2026-08-24. This page measures the Wishing Well — the one pool where you name the ship you are chasing; a standard build has no featured ship at all, so its UR rate answers a different question.
New to these terms? Pity, soft pity, 50/50 and spark, explained.
Starting from zero pity — the actual numbers
If you open the banner with no pity carried over, this is what a featured UR costs. The planner above adjusts these for the pity you already have.
| Outcome | Pulls | Wisdom Cube |
|---|---|---|
| 50% chance | 58 | 116 |
| 90% chance | 191 | 382 |
| Expected (average) | 76 | 152 |
| Guaranteed by | 200 | 400 |
Base rate 1.2% per pull and a hard guarantee at pull 200. “Expected” is the mean across the full distribution, not the median — half of players get there sooner than the 50% row, and a long tail does not.