Hololive Dreams Pity Calculator · Pull Planner
Real odds on the featured ★5 — pulls for 50%, for 90%, and for the guarantee, and the expected spend
69 typical, 200 if unlucky, 87 on average — guaranteed by 200. Plotted on the same axis as every other game.
hololive Dreams: a 1% rate on the featured ★5 talent within a 5% total ★5 rate, no pity ramp (draws are independent), and a 200-pull spark that guarantees any featured ★5.
Every rate on this page is a figure the game itself states; there is no modelled curve between them. Checked against Hololive Dreams df4be9ebc5a57ffa on 2026-08-06.
New to these terms? Pity, soft pity, 50/50 and spark, explained.
Starting from zero pity — the actual numbers
If you open the banner with no pity carried over, this is what a featured ★5 costs. The planner above adjusts these for the pity you already have.
| Outcome | Pulls | Blue Diamond |
|---|---|---|
| 50% chance | 69 | 17,250 |
| 90% chance | 200 | 50,000 |
| Expected (average) | 87 | 21,651 |
| Guaranteed by | 200 | 50,000 |
Base rate 5.0% per pull and a hard guarantee at pull 200. “Expected” is the mean across the full distribution, not the median — half of players get there sooner than the 50% row, and a long tail does not.