Honkai: Star Rail Pity Calculator · Pull Planner
Real odds on the featured 5★ — pulls for 50%, for 90%, and for the guarantee, and the expected spend
81 typical, 156 if unlucky, 94 on average — guaranteed by 180. Plotted on the same axis as every other game.
Star Rail's odds: 0.6% base 5★, hard pity at 90, and a 50/50 featured guarantee, with the soft-pity ramp fitted to the 1.6% comprehensive 5★ rate (≈62.5 average pulls).
The base rate and the pity count are the figures the game itself states, along with the comprehensive rate that includes pity. The shape of the soft-pity ramp between them is this planner's model, calibrated to reproduce that comprehensive rate — treat the exact per-pull curve inside the ramp as an estimate, and the totals it produces as the game's own numbers. Checked against Honkai: Star Rail 4.4.0 on 2026-08-26.
New to these terms? Pity, soft pity, 50/50 and spark, explained.
Starting from zero pity — the actual numbers
If you open the banner with no pity carried over, this is what a featured 5★ costs. The planner above adjusts these for the pity you already have.
| Outcome | Pulls | Stellar Jade |
|---|---|---|
| 50% chance | 81 | 12,960 |
| 90% chance | 156 | 24,960 |
| Expected (average) | 94 | 15,000 |
| Guaranteed by | 180 | 28,800 |
Base rate 0.6% per pull, with the soft-pity ramp beginning at pull 74 and a hard guarantee at pull 90. A first win is 50/50 against the featured unit, so a loss puts the next top-rarity pull on guarantee. “Expected” is the mean across the full distribution, not the median — half of players get there sooner than the 50% row, and a long tail does not.